I continue to have a love/hate relationship with the Academy Awards. I love that the nominations get attention for deserving/underseen films. I hate the self-congratulatory/industry nature of the awards themselves. That said, here are my predictions and personal picks for Sunday night.

I continue to have a love/hate relationship with the Academy Awards. I love that the nominations get attention for deserving/underseen films. I hate the self-congratulatory/industry nature of the awards themselves. That said, here are my predictions and personal picks for Sunday night.

Best Picture

"American Sniper"
"Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
"Boyhood"
"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"The Imitation Game"
"Selma"
"The Theory of Everything"
"Whiplash"

Will win: The momentum shifts of this awards season are all over the place, making this category a tougher call than most years, but I think it all swings back to the earliest frontrunner, "Boyhood."

Actually deserves to win: I'd have zero complaints with "Boyhood" being honored, but my No. 1 movie of last year was "Birdman."

Director

Alejandro G. Iñárritu, "Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
Richard Linklater, "Boyhood"
Bennett Miller, "Foxcatcher"
Wes Anderson, "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
Morten Tyldum, "The Imitation Game"

Will win: It seems in recent years the trend of Best Picture and Director going to the same film has waned, and I think this might be a year of a split, so let's call Iñárritu.

Actually deserves to win: I usually don't go with a split, but I think Linklater's vision that arched 12 years of filming is a pretty amazing achievement in directing.

Actress

Marion Cotillard, "Two Days, One Night"
Felicity Jones, "The Theory of Everything"
Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"
Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"
Reese Witherspoon, "Wild"

Will win: Moore is probably the biggest sure-thing of the night. It's amazing that Julianne Moore has never won an Oscar, and this isn't even her greatest performance.

Actually deserves to win: "Two Days, One Night" is the best overall film of the lot here, but Cotillard's performance is impeccable on its own.

Actor

Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher"
Bradley Cooper, "American Sniper"
Benedict Cumberbatch, "The Imitation Game"
Michael Keaton, "Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything"

Will win: Another case of "spreading the wealth" - in addition to the Academy loving showy performances/biopics - could push Redmayne's performance as Stephen Hawking to the front.

Actually deserves to win: If that prediction holds true, it will be my biggest disappointment of the night, as Michael Keaton turned his whole career on its ear in "Birdman."

Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood"
Laura Dern, "Wild"
Keira Knightley, "The Imitation Game"
Emma Stone, "Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
Meryl Streep, "Into the Woods"

Will win: Another clear frontrunner is Patricia Arquette, and with good reason. With just a shift in screentime, "Boyhood" could have easily been "Motherhood."

Actually deserves to win: Emma Stone's turn in "Birdman" was amazing. She'll be here again. This one goes to Arquette all the way.

Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall, "The Judge"
Ethan Hawke, "Boyhood"
Edward Norton, "Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
Mark Ruffalo, "Foxcatcher"
J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"

Will win: Simmons' tyrannical music instructor is probably the most intense performance since Daniel Day Lewis in "There Will Be Blood." Anyone else would be a shocker.

Actually deserves to win: I can't pick anyone but Simmons here, although Edward Norton is comic genius in "Birdman."

Original Screenplay

"Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
"Boyhood"
"Foxcatcher"
"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"Nightcrawler"

Will win: Continuing the spread-the-wealth theme, a consolation prize to Wes Anderson could trump the "Birdman"/"Boyhood" race.

Actually deserves to win: Though not as deserving as it would have been in Best Actor (Gyllenhaal was straight robbed), the excellent "Nightcrawler" started with an excellent script. It deserves more attention.

Adapted Screenplay

"American Sniper"
"The Imitation Game"
"Inherent Vice"
"The Theory of Everything"
"Whiplash"

Will win: The Oscar-baity "Imitation Game" is a dark horse in other major categories, so a win here may be consolation - though "Whiplash" may come close.

Actually deserves to win: This is clearly a case of me throwing love for one of my favorite movies of last year, but Paul Thomas Anderson captured the haziness of Thomas Pynchon's novel in "Inherent Vice." I'd love it if it won something.

Animated Feature

"Big Hero 6"
"The Boxtrolls"
"How to Train Your Dragon 2"
"Song of the Sea"
"The Tale of the Princess Kaguya"

Will win: "How to Train Your Dragon 2"

Actually deserves to win: "Big Hero 6"

Cinematography

"Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"Ida"
"Mr. Turner"
"Unbroken"

Will win: "Birdman"

Actually deserves to win: "Birdman"

Costume Design

"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"Inherent Vice"
"Into the Woods"
"Maleficent"
"Mr. Turner"

Will win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Actually deserves to win: "Inherent Vice"

Documentary Feature

"CitizenFour"
"Finding Vivian Maier"
"Last Days in Vietnam"
"The Salt of the Earth"
"Virunga"

Will win: "CitizenFour"

Actually deserves to win: "Finding Vivian Maier"

Documentary Short Subject

"Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1"
"Joanna"
"Our Curse"
"The Reaper (La Parka)"
"White Earth"

Will win: "Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1"

Actually deserves to win: "Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1"

Film Editing

"American Sniper"
"Boyhood"
"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"The Imitation Game"
"Whiplash"

Will win: "Whiplash"

Actually deserves to win: "Boyhood"

Foreign Language Film

"Ida"
"Leviathan"
"Tangerines"
"Timbuktu"
"Wild Tales"

Will win: "Ida"

Actually deserves to win: "Leviathan"

Makeup and Hairstyling

"Foxcatcher"
"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"Guardians of the Galaxy"

Will win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Actually deserves to win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Original Score

"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"The Imitation Game"
"Interstellar"
"Mr. Turner"
"The Theory of Everything"

Will win: "The Theory of Everything"

Actually deserves to win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Original Song

"Everything Is Awesome" from "The Lego Movie"
"Glory" from "Selma"
"Grateful" from "Beyond the Lights"
"I'm Not Gonna Miss You" from "Glen Campbell…I'll Be Me"
"Lost Stars" from "Begin Again"

Will win: "Glory" from "Selma"

Actually deserves to win: "Lost Stars" from "Begin Again"

Production Design

"The Grand Budapest Hotel"
"The Imitation Game"
"Interstellar"
"Into the Woods"
"Mr. Turner"

Will win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Actually deserves to win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"

Animated Short Film

"The Bigger Picture"
"The Dam Keeper"
"Feast"
"Me and My Moulton"
"A Single Life"

Will win: "Feast"

Actually deserves to win: "The Dam Keeper"

Live Action Short Film

"Aya"
"Boogaloo and Graham"
"Butter Lamp (La Lampe Au Beurre De Yak)"
"Parvaneh"
"The Phone Call"

Will win: "The Phone Call"

Actually deserves to win: "Boogaloo and Graham"

Sound Editing

"American Sniper"
"Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
"The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies"
"Interstellar"
"Unbroken"

Will win: "American Sniper"

Actually deserves to win: "Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"

Sound Mixing

"American Sniper"
"Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)"
"Interstellar"
"Unbroken"
"Whiplash"

Will win: "American Sniper"

Actually deserves to win: "Whiplash"

Visual Effects

"Captain America: The Winter Soldier"
"Dawn of the Planet of the Apes"
"Guardians of the Galaxy"
"Interstellar"
"X-Men: Days of Future Past"

Will win: "Interstellar"

Actually deserves to win: "Dawn of the Planet of the Apes"